Key Highlights
- Jake Osgathorpe provides tips and predictions for Matchday 10 in the 25/26 season of the Premier League.
- Osgathorpe focuses on set-piece opportunities, centre-back scorers, and player cards for various matches.
- He analyzes Sunderland vs Everton, West Ham vs Newcastle, Manchester City vs Bournemouth, and other fixtures.
- Osgathorpe offers betting strategies including carding predictions and shot totals.
Set-Piece Opportunities in the Premier League
In his analysis of Matchday 10 for the 25/26 season, Jake Osgathorpe highlights a significant trend in the Premier League: an increase in set-piece opportunities. According to Osgathorpe, 27.8% of all goals this season have been scored from set pieces, up from the league average since 2015/16 (21.7%). He notes that corners specifically are on course to surpass their previous record (14.2% in 2010/11). This trend has not yet factored into betting odds for centre-back scorers, presenting an opportunity for savvy bettors.
Set-Piece Betting: Sunderland vs Everton
Osgathorpe suggests a punt on Granit Xhaka to be carded at 4/1. Xhaka operates in the right channel of Sunderland’s midfield and is likely to cross paths with Grealish, who has been fouled frequently in his recent outings. The referee for this match, Thomas Bramall, has an average of four cards per game in Premier League matches this season, making a carding scenario plausible.
Betting on Centre-Back Scorers and Player Cards
For the Sunderland vs Everton match, Osgathorpe recommends focusing on centre-back scorers. He points out that Joe Rodon scored against West Ham in an earlier fixture, becoming the fifth centre-back to score against them this season. The analysis includes odds for Xhaka to be carded and predictions of a 1-1 scoreline.
West Ham vs Newcastle: Centre-Back Shots
In analyzing West Ham’s upcoming match against Newcastle, Osgathorpe suggests betting on Malick Thiaw. Thiaw has had at least one shot in each of his last four matches and is expected to face a high number of shots from centre-backs in West Ham’s defense. The analysis includes odds for Thiaw 1+ total shots and to score anytime.
Betting Strategies for Manchester City vs Bournemouth
Osgathorpe’s strategy for the Manchester City vs Bournemouth match involves betting on Alex Jimenez, a Bournemouth full-back who is not known as a prolific fouler. However, he has been in class against direct dribblers and could be challenged by City’s wingers. The analysis includes odds for Jimenez to commit 1+ foul and win 1+ foul.
Bet Preview: Brighton vs Leeds
For the Brighton vs Leeds match, Osgathorpe recommends a bet on Leeds +0.5 Asian Handicap at near even money. This is based on Brighton’s strong record against newly promoted sides and their ability to break down low-pressing teams. The analysis includes odds for a 1-1 scoreline.
Conclusion
Betting Opportunities in the Premier League
Osgathorpe’s comprehensive preview offers multiple betting strategies, from set-piece opportunities to centre-back scorers and player cards. His analysis emphasizes the importance of staying ahead of trends like increased set-piece usage and leveraging these insights for profitable bets.