2028 Democratic Polls Show Top Candidates in Three States

Early Contenders in Democratic Primary Race

The early jockeying for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination has gained slight momentum, as multiple polls suggest shifting dynamics among leading candidates. These polls, conducted by the University of New Hampshire from October 16 to October 21, have highlighted key contenders in three states: California, Maine, and Vermont.

California Governor Gavin Newsom

In a poll that surveyed 1,094 residents in Maine, California Governor Gavin Newsom garnered 16% of the vote. The survey had a margin of error of 3%. In the Green Mountain State of Vermont, where 880 people were polled, Newsom collected 17% of the votes. Additionally, Newsom also led the pack with 19% in New Hampshire, followed closely by Ocasio-Cortez and Buttigieg.

New York U.S. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez showed strong support as well, securing 15% of the vote in Maine and 17% in Vermont. In New Hampshire, she came in second with 14%, trailing Buttigieg by a slight margin.

Pete Buttigieg

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg demonstrated his competitiveness as he led in both Vermont (16%) and New Hampshire (19%). Ocasio-Cortez and Newsom followed closely behind in these states, showcasing the competitive nature of the race.

Candidates’ Statements on Future Runs

California Governor Gavin Newsom has expressed his intention to consider a run for the White House after the 2026 midterm elections. When asked about this possibility, he stated, “Yeah, I’d be lying otherwise. I can’t do that.” Former Vice President Kamala Harris also indicated her continued interest in politics but noted that she is not currently focusing on a presidential bid.

Political Analysts’ Perspectives

Political analyst Liz Peek, speaking with Fox Business, commented on the shallow bench of potential Democratic candidates. She stated, “I think this is just more evidence that the Democrats have an incredibly shallow bench. There are very few people with any substance who want to run.” Peek’s remarks highlight concerns about the depth of talent within the Democratic party.

Implications for 2028 Nomination

The results from these polls suggest that no candidate holds a decisive lead across recent surveys. Political analysts anticipate that the nomination fight will clarify the party’s post-Trump era priorities and strategy, especially as new polling data emerges and lesser-known candidates test the waters.

Shifts in voter sentiment, unexpected political events, and each contender’s capacity to unite or expand the Democratic base will likely determine who ultimately secures the nomination. The 2028 nomination race is expected to be a closely watched event as it shapes the future direction of the Democratic party.