Key Highlights
- Tonga have recorded just three wins over tier-one nations in this century but one of those came against Scotland at Pittodrie in 2012.
- Scotland are 40-point favourites for Sunday’s autumn international at Murrayfield against Tonga.
- The best bet is on Duhan van der Merwe to score two or more tries.
- Scotland will be looking to make amends after letting a 19-0 lead slip in their last match against Argentina.
Scotland vs Tonga: Match Preview and Betting Tips
In the upcoming Autumn Nations Series, Scotland faces off against Tonga at Murrayfield on Sunday, November 23. While Tonga have a history of underperforming against tier-one nations, they managed to secure a win over Scotland in 2012. This clash is set to be a significant test for both teams as they prepare for the upcoming season.
Despite the odds heavily favoring Scotland at 1-500, there are strategic bets that could prove lucrative, with Duhan van der Merwe being the standout player to watch. Known for his explosive runs and ability to score tries, van der Merwe has already shown his prowess in previous matches.
Scotland’s Approach
Following their narrow defeat against Argentina, Scotland are set to field a second-string side to atone for that loss. Head coach Gregor Townsend is expected to make 14 changes from the starting lineup that faced Argentina. Fergus Burke, who has earned his third cap with Saracens, will play in place of experienced players.
The focus on redemption and maintaining team morale is evident as Scotland look to secure a win against Tonga.
The match kicks off at 1:40 pm local time, and fans can tune in live on TNT Sports 1. With the Scottish coaching staff keenly aware of their recent shortcomings, there’s an added pressure for the team to deliver a solid performance and avoid another disappointing outcome.
Tonga’s Preparations
While Scotland prepares its second-string players, Tonga retains most of its key pack members from the Pacific Nations Cup. However, key figures like Charles Piutau and Willis Halaholo are sidelined for this match. The team will need to rely on their remaining squad to deliver a strong performance against the Scots.
The predicted lineup sees William Havili leading the backline with Taniela Filimone and Fine Inisi supporting him.
The forwards, including Ben Tameifuna and Semisi Paea, are expected to provide a solid foundation for Tonga’s attack. Despite the absence of some key players, Tonga will be determined to put up a competitive display.
Betting Odds and Predictions
For those looking to place bets on this fixture, bet365 offers favorable odds. Scotland are listed as 1-100 favorites for victory, while Tonga remain at 40-1 underdogs. The handicap is set around a 40-point spread, with the draw offering odds of 80-1.
Van der Merwe’s performance will be crucial in determining the match’s outcome.
His ability to score two or more tries makes him an attractive betting option at 11-8 on bet365. The match is a significant opportunity for van der Merwe and his team-mates to showcase their skills and regain confidence.
Scotland vs Tonga: Team News and Line-Ups
Scotland’s Starting Line-Up:
- RW Kyle Rowe
- 12 Sione Tuipulotu
- 13 Ollie Smith
- 14 Duhan van der Merwe
- 10 Fergus Burke
- 9 Ben White
- 1 Rory Sutherland
- 2 George Turner
- 3 Zander Fagerson
- 4 Alex Samuel
- 5 Max Williamson
- 6 Andy Onyeama-Christie
- 7 Jamie Ritchie
- 8 Magnus Bradbury
Tonga’s Predicted Line-Up:
- RW Taniela Filimone
- 13 Fine Inisi
- 12 Solomone Kata
- 11 John Tapueluelu
- 10 Patrick Pellegrini
- 9 Sonatane Takulua
- 1 Siegfried Fisi’ihoi
- 2 Siua Maile
- 3 Ben Tameifuna
- 4 Harison Mataele
- 5 Veikoso Poloniati
- 6 Semisi Paea
- 7 Siosiua Moala
- 8 Lotu Inisi
The match is set to be a pivotal moment for both Scotland and Tonga, with the autumn series serving as an important platform for showcasing talent and preparing for future competitions. Fans are encouraged to tune in for what promises to be an exciting encounter at Murrayfield.
